Trump just made a pretty big statement regarding the Russia - Ukraine war
Russia - Ukraine
Trump just made a pretty big statement regarding the Russia - Ukraine war
Donald Biden
B
Trump just made a pretty big statement regarding the Russia - Ukraine war
Zero chance Ukraine will be able to win back all of its territory unless "with the support of the European Union" means EU troops on the ground and/or their air power getting involved. They've barely got enough manpower to hold their defensive lines and they'd need a lot more to go on the offensive.
The Economist published this article today:
https://www.economist.com/europe/2025/09/23/ukraine-faces-deepening-military-political-and-economic-problems
"The front lines have not shifted significantly since November 2022. Fighting continues for the small city of Pokrovsk (pre-war population: 60,000) in the Donbas, for instance, well over a year after it began. At least a million Russian troops have died or been wounded. Ukrainian innovation has meanwhile turned the front lines into a jungle of drones; any movement in a 40km “grey zone” is a gamble with death. Ukraine can maintain this kind of defence for a long time.
Ukraine stands because its people insisted on it. Much of the country’s security backbone grew independently of a weak state, and often despite it. Parallel networks of society, business and soldiers patched gaps left by a defence ministry insiders call “the chaos ministry”. World-leading drone companies began in spare rooms and garages. “When the bureaucracy stalls, small structures create what the country needs,” says an intelligence officer.
The problem, however, is that Russia often copies and then mass-produces Ukraine’s innovations quicker than Ukraine can. Conscription meanwhile is getting harder, and more violent. The infantry is critically understaffed. Early in the war, Ukrainians paid bribes to get to the front lines and fight. “Now they just run,” says “Fantomas”, a former conscription officer. “The system broke down last year.
”It is hard to see a route to Ukrainian victory without a much wider, but politically very difficult, level of conscription. Recruits would need to be dragged from civilian industries. Politicians’ sons, now often protected, would have to go."
Zero chance Ukraine will be able to win back all of its territory unless "with the support of the European Union" means EU troops on the ground and/or their air power getting involved. They've barely got enough manpower to hold their defensive lines and they'd need a lot more to go on the offensive.
The Economist published this article today:
https://www.economist.com/europe/2025/09/23/ukraine-faces-deepening-military-political-and-economic-problems
"The front lines have not shifted significantly since November 2022. Fighting continues for the small city of Pokrovsk (pre-war population: 60,000) in the Donbas, for instance, well over a year after it began. At least a million Russian troops have died or been wounded. Ukrainian innovation has meanwhile turned the front lines into a jungle of drones; any movement in a 40km “grey zone” is a gamble with death. Ukraine can maintain this kind of defence for a long time.
Ukraine stands because its people insisted on it. Much of the country’s security backbone grew independently of a weak state, and often despite it. Parallel networks of society, business and soldiers patched gaps left by a defence ministry insiders call “the chaos ministry”. World-leading drone companies began in spare rooms and garages. “When the bureaucracy stalls, small structures create what the country needs,” says an intelligence officer.
The problem, however, is that Russia often copies and then mass-produces Ukraine’s innovations quicker than Ukraine can. Conscription meanwhile is getting harder, and more violent. The infantry is critically understaffed. Early in the war, Ukrainians paid bribes to get to the front lines and fight. “Now they just run,” says “Fantomas”, a former conscription officer. “The system broke down last year.
”It is hard to see a route to Ukrainian victory without a much wider, but politically very difficult, level of conscription. Recruits would need to be dragged from civilian industries. Politicians’ sons, now often protected, would have to go."
Europe is saber rattling. And they are weak, they are not ready for a war they’re trying to drag us with them through NATO.
B
Europe is saber rattling. And they are weak, they are not ready for a war they’re trying to drag us with them through NATO.
Yep. If they were going to do something meaningful they would’ve already done it by now.
Trump says he's "sort of made a decision" on supplying Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine
https://www.axios.com/2025/10/06/trump-tomahawk-ukraine-supply-decision
B
Trump is a fucking retard.
B
https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/14/world/ukraines-new-defense-chief-reveals-200-000-soldiers-have-gone-awol-and-2-million-are-draft-dodging
Ukraine’s new defense chief reveals 200,000 soldiers have gone AWOL and 2 million are dodging draft
"Ukraine estimates that 200,000 of its soldiers are absent without official leave (AWOL), meaning they have left their positions without permission to do so, the country’s new Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov revealed on Wednesday.
Speaking in the Ukrainian Parliament ahead of the vote that confirmed him as the new defense chief, Fedorov also said some 2 million Ukrainians are “wanted” for avoiding military service.
The Ukrainian military has been under strain for years as it tries to defend the country against a much bigger and stronger enemy. Conditions along the frontline have been brutal, with Kyiv’s troops often trying to hold onto key positions even as they find themselves outmanned and outgunned.
Rumours of low morale and high desertion rates have been swirling around for a long time, but Fedorov’s comments mark the first time any Ukrainian official has disclosed the scale of the problem.
Under Ukrainian law, all men between the ages of 18 and 60 are required to register with the military and always have their documents on them, although only those aged 25 to 60 are subject to mobilization."
https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/14/world/ukraines-new-defense-chief-reveals-200-000-soldiers-have-gone-awol-and-2-million-are-draft-dodging
Ukraine’s new defense chief reveals 200,000 soldiers have gone AWOL and 2 million are dodging draft
"Ukraine estimates that 200,000 of its soldiers are absent without official leave (AWOL), meaning they have left their positions without permission to do so, the country’s new Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov revealed on Wednesday.
Speaking in the Ukrainian Parliament ahead of the vote that confirmed him as the new defense chief, Fedorov also said some 2 million Ukrainians are “wanted” for avoiding military service.
The Ukrainian military has been under strain for years as it tries to defend the country against a much bigger and stronger enemy. Conditions along the frontline have been brutal, with Kyiv’s troops often trying to hold onto key positions even as they find themselves outmanned and outgunned.
Rumours of low morale and high desertion rates have been swirling around for a long time, but Fedorov’s comments mark the first time any Ukrainian official has disclosed the scale of the problem.
Under Ukrainian law, all men between the ages of 18 and 60 are required to register with the military and always have their documents on them, although only those aged 25 to 60 are subject to mobilization."
B
I'm 100% for Ukraine in this but an end should've been negotiated a few years ago when it was clear that our support wouldn't meaningfully increase and the Europeans weren't interested in jumping in.
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