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Edited 3h ago by boxox Silent
@badideaguy said ↗How do you figure?Every major power that's tried to pull something with a small rival has gotten obliterated lately.I feel like the odds of them trying something with Taiwan are actually far lower now.Russia's GDP is the size of Italy's if that's the major power you're thinking of. Drones have held them back, fortunately.thankfully. China would be a whole different animal. Far more capability and resources. And our shortcomings in and around Iran and in the Middle East region in general have made our vulnerabilities more clear.https://www.cfr.org/reports/out-of-ammo-a-two-year-sprint-to-rebuild-the-american-arsenal-and-deter-china"The United States is increasingly ill-equipped to deter or defeat Chinese aggression in the Western Pacific, particularly a potential invasion or blockade of Taiwan. The U.S. military no longer possesses the requisite quantity of warfighting systems nor the industrial capacity to produce them at scale needed to counter the People’s Liberation Army’s burgeoning arsenal. To address this gap in the near term, the Department of Defense (DOD) and Congress must implement far-reaching reforms to enable the production, acquisition, and deployment of “precise mass” systems: an emerging class of military capabilities that includes drones, sensors, and enabling technologies. Precise mass systems can be manufactured cheaply, fielded rapidly, expended freely in combat, and sustained readily at scale in wartime."
Rendered before/after
Before

How do you figure?


Every major power that's tried to pull something with a small rival has gotten obliterated lately.


I feel like the odds of them trying something with Taiwan are actually far lower now.


Russia's GDP is the size of Italy's if that's the major power you're thinking of. Drones have held them back, thankfully. 

China would be a whole different animal. Far more capability and resources. And our shortcomings in and around Iran and in the Middle East region in general have made our vulnerabilities more clear.

https://www.cfr.org/reports/out-of-ammo-a-two-year-sprint-to-rebuild-the-american-arsenal-and-deter-china

"The United States is increasingly ill-equipped to deter or defeat Chinese aggression in the Western Pacific, particularly a potential invasion or blockade of Taiwan. The U.S. military no longer possesses the requisite quantity of warfighting systems nor the industrial capacity to produce them at scale needed to counter the People’s Liberation Army’s burgeoning arsenal. To address this gap in the near term, the Department of Defense (DOD) and Congress must implement far-reaching reforms to enable the production, acquisition, and deployment of “precise mass” systems: an emerging class of military capabilities that includes drones, sensors, and enabling technologies. Precise mass systems can be manufactured cheaply, fielded rapidly, expended freely in combat, and sustained readily at scale in wartime."

After

How do you figure?


Every major power that's tried to pull something with a small rival has gotten obliterated lately.


I feel like the odds of them trying something with Taiwan are actually far lower now.


Russia's GDP is the size of Italy's if that's the major power you're thinking of. Drones have held them back, fortunately. 

China would be a whole different animal. Far more capability and resources. And our shortcomings in and around Iran and in the Middle East region in general have made our vulnerabilities more clear.

https://www.cfr.org/reports/out-of-ammo-a-two-year-sprint-to-rebuild-the-american-arsenal-and-deter-china

"The United States is increasingly ill-equipped to deter or defeat Chinese aggression in the Western Pacific, particularly a potential invasion or blockade of Taiwan. The U.S. military no longer possesses the requisite quantity of warfighting systems nor the industrial capacity to produce them at scale needed to counter the People’s Liberation Army’s burgeoning arsenal. To address this gap in the near term, the Department of Defense (DOD) and Congress must implement far-reaching reforms to enable the production, acquisition, and deployment of “precise mass” systems: an emerging class of military capabilities that includes drones, sensors, and enabling technologies. Precise mass systems can be manufactured cheaply, fielded rapidly, expended freely in combat, and sustained readily at scale in wartime."