https://www.axios.com/2026/09/26/trump-republicans-midterm-election-house-senate
GOP election outlook goes from bad to "craptastic"
9/26/26
“President Trump told voters to pretend he's on the ballot. Apparently they're listening: Republicans coast to coast are getting pulled under by a violent undertow fueled by Trump's unpopularity.
"It's looked bad for Republicans all year, but this week felt different — like the political environment was disintegrating in real time, one ominous data point after another.
Most worrisome for the GOP, there's virtually no chance the war ends, inflation cools, interest rates fall, consumer confidence rises, and economic optimism surges before the Nov. 3 election.
That's why Republicans fear the undertow imperils so many candidates once deemed safe.
Predicting election outcomes is a risky business, but it may be time to expand the imagination of how ugly it could get for Republicans five weeks from now.
This week, Trump's disapproval rating hit 60.4%, the worst mark of his two terms in office, including the aftermath of the Jan. 6 riots.
Gas prices are over $4 a gallon, diesel has hit $6.50 and no relief is in sight.
Seven months in, the U.S. is locked in a standoff with Iran with no apparent exit strategy.
Grocery prices are still rising year over year.
Mortgage rates hit 7%.
And the cost of borrowing across the economy continues to climb."
Dan Scavino is the director of the White House Presidential Personnel Office and the White House deputy chief of staff.